Determinants of Sugarcane Production in Tanzania: 1980 – 2023

The sugar industry plays a crucial role in Tanzania's economy, but it is currently facing several challenges such as a decline in production, increasing input costs, and competition from imported sugar. This research aims to investigate the factors that determine sugarcane production in Tanzania from 1980 to 2023. Specifically, the study focuses on examining the impact of variability, extension services, and pest management on sugar cane production. To achieve this, the study utilizes the Cobb-Douglas model and time series analysis to analyze various factors including rainfall, imported refined sugar, area harvested, and the availability of sugarcane seeds. The results of the analysis reveal that rainfall has a significant effect on sugar cane production, highlighting the importance of climate stability and the implementation of effective irrigation strategies. Interestingly, the study finds that imported refined sugar does not have a significant impact on production. This suggests that there is a need for stricter regulations to control the importation of sugar and promote domestic production. Additionally, the study highlights the importance of high-quality sugarcane seeds, indicating the need for efficient seed supply chains to ensure optimal production. The policy implications of this research include the investment in irrigation systems, the development of climate resilience strategies, and support for small-scale sugarcane farmers. By controlling sugar imports, domestic production can be stimulated, leading to increased economic growth and food security in Tanzania. It is important to note that this study acknowledges the limitations of the available data and suggests that future research should explore additional variables such as soil quality and pest management. By considering these factors, policymakers and stakeholders can gain valuable insights to enhance the sustainability and productivity of Tanzania's sugar industry, ultimately contributing to the country's economic growth and food security.